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Failing to Understand the Exponential, Again

Julian Schrittwieser examines why public debate keeps missing the exponential curve in AI progress. He highlights METR’s time‑horizon evals and OpenAI’s GDPval to show consistent capability gains across software and broader occupations—and argues that simple extrapolation points to near‑term, real economic impact. A clear, grounded read on where we’re headed.

Sep 30, 2025 · 13:58 GMT

Google's Approach to AI Energy Efficiency

Over a 12-month period, while delivering higher-quality responses, the median energy consumption and carbon footprint per Gemini Apps text prompt decreased by factors of 33x and 44x, respectively. Based on our recent analysis, we found that our work on efficiency is proving effective and the energy consumed per median prompt is equivalent to watching television for less than nine seconds.

Google seems to be taking a transparent approach to measuring and improving the environmental footprint of its AI models, sharing detailed methodology and impressive efficiency gains. Their commitment to data center optimization and clean energy scaling is a strong signal for the future of sustainable tech. It’s encouraging to see major players publish real numbers and push for accountability as AI adoption accelerates.

Aug 25, 2025 · 14:18 GMT

Sam Altman's Gentle Singularity

Sam Altman argues that the rise of digital superintelligence will be gradual and transformative, with major benefits for science and productivity. However, critics say his vision is overly optimistic, underestimates current technical and social challenges, and glosses over risks like inequality and AI alignment. Others, such as James Pethokoukis, see the essay as a strategic attempt to calm public anxiety, while some urge a more grounded debate about AI’s real-world limitations.

Jun 16, 2025 · 15:48 GMT

From Cover to Cover

This is one of the most wonderful personal projects I’ve seen in a long time. Designer Jenny Volvoski set out to recreate the covers of books she had read, with a few constraints: green/black/white for the colour, Futura/typewriter/handwriter/(and Caslon Italic) for the text, and scans/drawings/photography for the image. As you can see, the results are stunning.

Mar 17, 2025 · 11:03 GMT

Resist Authoritarianism by Refusing to Obey in Advance

Anticipatory obedience is a political tragedy. Perhaps rulers did not initially know that citizens were willing to compromise this value or that principle. Perhaps a new regime did not at first have the direct means of influencing citizens one way or another.

This is a very important message on which we should reflect deeply.

Feb 13, 2025 · 10:46 GMT

Redefine Your Design Skills to Prepare for AI

Embracing automation for tactical efforts while intentionally cultivating strategic thinking ensures that designers maintain their thought-leader and decision-maker roles, while no longer acting as mere executors of predefined processes.

Great article from Pablo Fernandéz Vallejo from Nielsen Norman Group on how to prepare for AI in design. It speaks on task automation and augmentation, organizational change, the importance of strategic thinking and more. It’s a great read for anyone looking to stay ahead in the design industry.

Jan 31, 2025 · 19:50 GMT

Writing Can Save You Time

Writing can save you time. Publishing ideas on paper is how you create intellectual capital because writing is how you make your ideas permanent. Words on paper are the closest thing we have to time travel. Once you write something down, you can remix and reuse the ideas for the rest of your life.

Writing is research and development for your brain. The words you publish now are the seeds of your future projects. Every time you write down an idea, you add a Lego block to your intellectual arsenal. The more Legos you have, the more things you can build. Writing is the same. The more you write now, the more you can create in the future. As the number of artifacts you create increase linearly, the number of connections you make between them increase exponentially.

I was poking around Paul de Raaij’s digital garden when I came across the phrase “Writing things down helps build intellectual capital”, and luckily Paul linked to this wonderful article by David Perell. It such a strong and truthful idea.

Jan 28, 2025 · 19:48 GMT

OpenAI has created an AI model for longevity science

OpenAI’s new model, called GPT-4b micro, was trained to suggest ways to re-engineer the protein factors to increase their function. According to OpenAI, researchers used the model’s suggestions to change two of the Yamanaka factors to be more than 50 times as effective—at least according to some preliminary measures.

Seems that OpenAI is diversofying its AI models to cover more fields of science… and business. They’re doing this research by investing in Retro Bioscience, a company that focuses on longevity science. The shaddy part is that Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, is also a co-founder of Retro Bioscience. Nevertheless, it’s a great example of how AI can be used to solve real-world problems.

Jan 23, 2025 · 10:16 GMT

Once-in-a-century' discovery reveals spectacular luxury of Pompeii

Archaeologists have discovered a sumptuous private bathhouse - potentially the largest ever found there - complete with hot, warm and cold rooms, exquisite artwork, and a huge plunge pool.

I’ve been to Pompeii twice and I’ve always been amazed and surprised. In some areas of the city, it’s as if you’ve traveled back in time to 79AD, a few days before the eruption of Mount Vesuvius. It’s a unique, dramatic and breathtaking place where discoveries are made every day.

Jan 21, 2025 · 24:00 GMT

Front Matter: Headless CMS right in your code editor

After AstroJS was updated to version 5.0+, with a new way to manage content collections, I noticed that the promising Darkmatter no longer works and its development is at a standstill. I found Front Matter and I’m still trying it out, but it seems to be an interesting approach.

Jan 18, 2025 · 16:57 GMT

Durable products

“This in my opinion is what any product company should strive for. Make useful things for people. Make them high-quality and durable. Make them so that if and when a thing wear down, people will want to replace it with the exact same thing. Repeat the cycle.” — Brad Frost

Producing durable products is a necessity. I think it’s unrealistic to think that we can solve the climate change crisis without changing the paradigm of industrial production.

Jan 17, 2025 · 24:22 GMT

David Lynch, Twin Peaks and Mulholland Drive director, dies aged 78

Lynch then embarked on another noirish project, the opaque and surreal murder-mystery Twin Peaks that – unusually for notable film directors of the period – was envisioned as a TV series;Lynch developed it with former Hill Street Blues writer Mark Frost. A mix of small town comedy, police procedural and surreal dreamworld, and described as “the most hauntingly original work ever done for American TV” — Andrew Pulver

I still believe that the Twin Peaks series was something unique in the history of television. In another article in The Guardian, journalist Peter Bradshaw called Lynch “the great American surrealist who made experimentalism mainstream”. I couldn’t have said it better myself.

Jan 17, 2025 · 24:01 GMT

© 2025 Bruno Monteiro. All rights reserved.

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